Hi Mark,
Thanks for sending these over. It's great that you're keeping an eye on how we stack up against Fenixlighting, and these are exactly the right questions to ask. The good news is the account is in much better shape than those figures suggest. Here's the short version:
Benchmarking tools are useful for sizing up competitors, but they can't see inside our own ad account, so I've attached the reports behind every Google number below, pulled directly from Google Ads. You or your agent are welcome to dig in. The store-sales figures come from Shopify and are attached too.
1. What happened to paid traffic: strategy, budget or drift?
Strategy. From December through mid-September, all of our Google spend ran in Performance Max, Google's automated campaign type. It mostly shows product listings with photos and prices rather than text ads on keywords.
Our clicks did come down, from 66,159 in April to 14,059 in September, and that was deliberate:
2. Are we bidding on "fenix flashlight" and "fenix flashlights"?
Yes. On September 17, Maksym launched a dedicated brand Search campaign. It bids to a target return. We tell Google how much in sales we want for every $1 spent, so it bids up on searches from people likely to buy and holds back on those who aren't. Maksym started it with a $2-per-click cap to confirm it was profitable before scaling. Over its first three weeks it brought in about $2.50 for every $1, and that figure is still rising as late orders are credited.
We added budget as the results came in, starting September 30, and added more after your October 4 note about leaning in for the fall promo. On October 7 we raised the cap to $4 a click and set the target at $4 in sales for every $1. We still pay well under that: the average since then is $1.38.
For searches of exactly "fenix flashlight", "fenix flashlights", "fenix headlamp" and "fenix headlamps":
You're right that you've been seeing Fenixlighting above us. Before October 7 we held the #1 spot only about 1 in 5 times, so on most of your searches they would have been on top. Since the change we're #1 about 2 in 5 times and in the top ad positions about 8 in 10 times, so you'll still see them above us sometimes, just much less often.
Part of that is by design. Because the campaign bids to a target return, Google doesn't bid the same on every search. For each one, it looks at signals like the searcher's location, device, time of day and browsing history, and estimates how likely that person is to buy. It bids up for likely buyers and holds back for people who probably won't buy, which is what keeps the return high. Someone who searches our brand often but rarely buys through the ad, including you checking on us, is likely to be treated as a low-chance buyer. Google may bid low for you or not show our ad at all, so you'll probably see Fenixlighting on top more often than a real shopper does. We also don't run brand ads between 1am and 5am, when few people buy. Google's free Ad Preview tool shows what a typical shopper sees, and Maksym is happy to walk you through it.
Other advertisers, Fenixlighting included, bid on these same searches. How often we take #1 comes down to the return we tell Google to target and how much we're willing to pay per click. A lower target or a higher cap would win #1 more often, but we'd pay more for each sale. That's the decision we'll bring you on October 26.
3. What would a brand-defense campaign cost?
It's already running, so there's nothing new to set up. At the October 8–11 pace:
As you suggested on October 4, we've stepped up total Google spend for the fall promo, from about $550 a day in late September to about $1,000–1,500 a day now. The early return is strong: from October 8 to 11, Google-credited sales were $20,632 on $4,785 of spend, about $4.30 for every $1. Sales are keeping pace with the higher spend. So far in October, Google ad spend is about 10.5% of store sales ($11,319 on $108,339), comfortably under your 15% line.
4. What would it take to cover our brand terms?
They're largely covered.
What's next
Happy to hop on a call anytime.
Note: Google keeps crediting late orders to the original click for several weeks, so Google-credited sales run higher than first reported. July is up about a quarter since our first July report.
Best,
Dusty